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Analysis
其实此次会议纪要中并没有透露出任何新的内容。美联储尽可能的做到了雨露均沾，既表示通胀很高加息不会停止，又表示未来某个时间可能暂缓加息节奏。多空双方经过一番博弈之后，偏鹰派的解读占据了上峰。尽早尽快的加息，能避免通胀变得“根深蒂固”，尽管需要为此付出一些经济代价。目前市场预计9月加息近60个基点。但在此之前，我们还将经历通胀和非农数据以及下周的杰克逊霍尔央行年会。
美元指数（USDX）已经从8月初的低点反弹了近4%，昨天的零售销售数据也提供了一定的支撑。短期来看，无论是货币政策还是避险情绪的引导，美元还是具有向上的空间。具体能拉到多高还需要进一步观察未来的数据和加息预期的变化。7月高点109附近或许是一个关键水平。
美元指数（USDX）
非美货普遍承压。英国通胀率从9.4%飙升至10%上方。由于食品和能源的惊人涨幅，英国央行预计通胀率在年底前或将达到13%，而与此同时薪资涨幅仅有4.7%。利率市场押注明年5月利率将达到峰值3.74%，比通胀数据公布之前高出28个基点。但英镑还是回吐了周二的所有涨幅，短线关注1.2000的关口，跌破后恐回踩年内低点1.1760。
欧元昨天小幅回升，继续在长期下降趋势线下方徘徊。欧元区7月CPI今天将出炉。
澳元和纽元的跌幅都在1%以上，受到了美元走强和中国数据疲弱的双重影响。新西兰央行昨天如期加息50个基点，并且释放非常明显的鹰派信号。但最初的汇率上涨在欧美时段被完全抹平。
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