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Analysis
今日关注
- 新西兰联储利率决定
股市
美股经历了疫苗的利好刺激后，周二有所降温但继续分化的走势。道琼斯指数上涨0.9%，纳斯达克和标普500分别下跌1.37%和0.14%。
随着疫苗的突破性进展，市场似乎无视了近期的各种不确定性，如疫苗的上市和分发、不断加剧的疫情、大选的尾部风险、财政刺激的搁浅，以及经济的衰退等。
10年期美债收益率接近1%，收益率曲线的陡峭催生了板块轮动，受疫苗影响最大的科技股继续领跌大盘，而价值股（MT5的SP 500 Value ETF）、小盘股（罗素2000指数或US2000）则相对表现出色。
欧洲股市昨日普涨。A股三大指数则集体收跌，其中沪指下跌0.40%，收报3360.15点。ASX200收高于6340.5点，涨幅0.66%。
商品
黄金收复了部分周一的跌幅，反弹至1877.23，但未能突破1900关口。美债实际利率变动不大，但金价大幅下跌后吸引了买盘入场，美国大选后权力交接的不确定性同样带来了支撑。另外，美联储长期维持低利率的承诺使黄金下跌空间有限。
WTI原油（XTIUSD）攀升至41.71。投资者对新冠疫苗的乐观期待盖过了每日病例不断激增的现实。
外汇
美元指数（USDX）没能延续反弹，周二收盘回落至92.66，继续运行于5天EMA线下方。
美/日持稳于105.24。周一疫苗消息公布后，日元创下3月以来的最大单日跌幅。
欧元在美元的弱势下勉强守住1.18一线，投资者看淡了不及预期的欧元区和德国ZEW经济景气指数。欧盟就长期支出计划达成了协议，进一步接近敲定1.8万亿欧元的预算和刺激协议。
英镑成为周二表现最出色的货币，延续此前的涨势收于两个月新高1.3273。
英国9月份申请失业金人数减少29800人，大幅好于预期的增加36000人。汇价接近上升通道的上沿，并且进一步远离10天EMA线。当疫苗带来的乐观情绪逐渐褪去之后，脱欧谈判将再度成为市场焦点。
澳元小幅升高至0.7286。
纽元在新西兰央行公布利率决议前夕扩大涨幅至0.6832。新西兰联储始终没有放弃负利率的政策选项，但随着新西兰成功抵御了新冠疫情的冲击，本次会议上关于负利率的表述格外引人注目。
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