Analysis

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【今日速递】惊天利好刺激全球股市大幅上扬

Jerry Chen
Research Strategist
10 Nov 2020
新冠疫苗的突破性进展可能彻底点燃了市场的风险情绪,欧美股市大涨,黄金则大幅回落。

今日关注

  • 中国10月CPI
  • 英国9月三个月ILO失业率
  • 德国和欧元区ZEW经济景气指数

股市

在辉瑞的新冠疫苗取得突破性进展之后,道琼斯和标普500指数周一盘中刷新记录高位,不过此后由于投资者担心财政刺激方案的规模较小因而涨幅有所收窄,全天分别上涨2.95%和1.17%。

随着美债长端收益率大幅走高且收益率曲线再度变陡,资金从此前具有避险属性的科技股撤出,导致纳斯达克下挫1.53%。

周一是拜登胜选之后的第一个工作日,除了收获疫苗的惊天利好之外,将防疫作为第一要务的拜登已经开始组建由多位专家组成的疫情顾问小组,显示出与特朗普截然不同的防疫策略。对于疫苗以及美国防疫工作的乐观前景大幅提振了市场风险情绪。而市场普遍预计特朗普的法律诉讼不会给风险资产带来太大的负面影响。

欧洲股市昨日的涨幅更为惊人,受疫情影响最为严重的法国和西班牙股市分别攀升7.6%和8.6%。

A股三大指数昨日集体大涨,其中沪指收盘上涨1.86%,收报3373.73点。两市成交额时隔两月再破万亿元大关。ASX200升至6298.8点,涨幅1.75%。

商品

黄金下跌4.5%至1862.12,疫苗的进展使资金从避险资产撤离。金价在1860附近或将获得一定的支撑,金价在过去两个月内多次在触及此处后反弹。美债名义利率和实际利率的回升也令黄金承压。

白银重挫6%至24.07。

WTI原油(XTIUSD)盘中最高触及41.23,收盘报39.73。疫苗的消息点燃了市场对未来原油需求的希望。

外汇

美元指数(USDX)从两个月低点反弹至92.78,同时10年期和30年期美债收益率达到3月以来最高水平。

避险货币日元和瑞郎兑美元则大幅下滑,分别收于105.38和0.9137。

欧元对疫苗的反应不强,在美元指数反弹的影响下跌至1.1813。

英镑连续第三天收涨,收盘报1.3163。英国和欧盟之间的脱欧谈判在伦敦继续进行。

风险货币全线上涨。澳元收高于0.7279,盘中一度刷新两个月新高0.7339。纽元突破0.68关口,收于2019年4月以来的最高水平。美/加下跌但站稳1.30上方。

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