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Analysis

EUR
EUR

【今日速递】脱欧谈判截止日来临 英镑大幅反弹

Jerry Chen
Jerry Chen
Research Strategist
15 Oct 2020
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大选前达成刺激方案的希望破灭,美股连续回调,美元走弱。欧盟峰会今天登场,脱欧谈判再次成为市场焦点。

今日关注

  • 澳大利亚9月失业率
  • 中国9月CPI年率
  • 美国上周初请失业金人数;
  • 10月纽约联储和费城联储制造业指数

股市

美股三大指数连续第二天收跌,标普500下跌0.66%,纳斯达克和道琼斯分别下挫0.8%和0.58%。银行财报好坏参半,金融板块周三与科技股一起走低。工业、材料、能源板块涨幅居前。

美国财政刺激方案的闹剧仍在继续。财政部长努钦表示,在选举前达成协议将是困难的,并提到双方在某些问题上仍存在很大分歧。此前民主党已经明确否决了白宫1.8万亿的纾困方案。

欧洲和亚洲股市涨跌不一。A股三大股指集体收跌,其中沪指跌幅0.56%。ASX200下跌16.5点至6179.2,跌幅0.27%,为8天来首次下跌。

商品

黄金小幅反弹至1890.97,但5天EMA线限制了金价的日内涨幅。在大选临近且财政刺激方案难产的情况下,黄金预计将继续震荡走势。

WTI原油(XTIUSD)涨超2%,收盘于41上方。国际能源署预计第四季度全球原油库存将大幅下降。而API公布的数据显示,上周美国原油库存降幅远超预期,进一步推高了油价

外汇

美元指数(USDX)下跌至93.37,10年期美债收益率下滑至0.73%。与黄金一样,美元将继续在财政刺激和疫苗进展的消息影响下双向波动。

欧元持平于1.1745。欧洲各国的疫情二次爆发不断加剧,单日新增病例屡创新高,因此各国政府不断加码限制措施,法国将在巴黎等主要城市实施宵禁。这些举措显然将拖累欧洲经济复苏的进程。欧元区工业生产数据显示,8月复苏大幅放缓,符合市场预期。

欧元在跌破上升通道后,或将在短期均线的压制下继续下行,并在1.1720的关键水平寻找支撑。

英镑成为周三表现最出色的货币,上涨0.6%后收于1.30上方。尽管英国单方面设定的脱欧谈判截止日期就是10月15日,但欧盟表示谈判有望继续进行,为市场提供了些许乐观情绪。

澳元在连续两天下跌之后,昨日收盘企稳于0.7162,疲弱的消费者信息指数没能对市场产生波动。今天将迎来澳洲9月劳动力市场报告。

纽元继续良好的势头升至0.6656。加元则无视油价的坚挺,走弱至1.3151。



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