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Analysis

US2000
EUR

【今日速递】美股高位回落 美元步履蹒跚

Jerry Chen
Jerry Chen
Research Strategist
30 Dec 2020
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美元指数周二重回90下方,黄金、原油小幅上涨,欧元则刷新年内高位。

今日关注

  • 美国11月成屋签约销售指数
  • 美国至12月25日当周EIA原油库存

股市

美国三大股指周二盘中刷新历史新高后收盘小幅下跌,罗素2000指数连续回调下挫1.85%。在经过9-11月的拉升之后,小盘股在12月的表现不及成长股。

众议院决定提高个人援助金额至2000美元后,该方案在参议院遭遇阻力,股市随即高位回落。与此同时,美国的新冠住院率创下记录新高,疫情的蔓延令投资者感到担忧。

但9000亿美元的刺激方案的通过还是提振了美国的通胀预期。10年期盈亏平衡通胀率已经攀升至1.96%,是自2018年底以来的最高水平。经济复苏以及通胀率回升或将是2021年的主题。

欧洲股市周二普涨。除了欧洲各国开始接种疫苗的消息之外,中国和欧盟之间的投资协定有望于本周签署也刺激了风险偏好。

A股三大指数昨日集体收跌,其中沪指下跌0.54%,收报3379.04点。澳洲ASX200指数上涨至6700.30点,涨幅0.53%。

商品

黄金上涨至1878.24美元,延续11月底以来的回升势头,但在突破1900(100天均线)之前仍处于更大的下降趋势之中。日线图上,50天均线提供了一定的支撑。

WTI原油(XTIUSD)升至49.96,美元原油库存上周的下跌幅度远超预期,且疫苗进展顺利,抵消了市场对2000美元支票落空的忧虑。OPEC+将在下周开会决定2月份产量水平,而1月开始日产量将提高50万桶。

外汇

美元指数(USDX)收盘再次跌破90关口,接近两年半以来的低点。10年期美债收益率维持在0.94%。CFTC的数据显示,截止12月21日的当周,美元空仓升至266亿美元,创三个月来最高。

欧元周二盘中刷新了年内新高后回吐涨幅,最终收于1.2249。脱欧协议的达成以及疫苗的大规模接种提振了欧元近来的走势。

英镑收盘重回1.35上方,上涨0.32%。欧盟正式批准了与英国的脱欧贸易协议,避免了无协议脱欧可能带来的混乱局面。

商品货币在弱势美元的影响下周二全线上涨。澳元(+0.34%)再次回到0.76上方,纽元(+0.66%)收高于0.7149。加元走强至1.2819。



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