澳元兑美元经历了自3月低点开始的V型反弹后,目前来到了日线图上关键的阻力区域。图中0.6657/70区域(绿色)与200天均线(棕色)重合,汇价的上行方向面临着重重阻力。
澳元兑美元(AUDUSD)日线图
中美关系的持续恶化主导了近日外汇市场的走势。美国国务卿蓬佩奥宣称香港已经不具备高度自治状态,为特朗普政府取消对香港经济的特殊待遇做好了铺垫。早些时候,美国众议院通过了《维吾尔人权政策法案》要求政府制裁相关的中国官员。中美紧张局势给全球经济的复苏道路蒙上了一层阴影,作为衡量全球风险情绪的指标性货币,澳元承压。
不过,澳洲央行行长在今天早间的讲话给市场注入了些许信心。洛维表示澳洲经济的下滑可能没有之前预期的那么严重,3月份出台的刺激措施正在有效运转,并将继续维持当前的宽松政策直到就业和通胀水平恢复到目标水平。同时今天早间公布的数据显示,澳洲第一季度资本支出的跌幅(-1.6%)好于预期(-2.6%)。
在多空双方角力下澳元后市会如何演绎?是跟随经济复苏的乐观情绪继续上行?还是受中美局势的拖累下挫?欢迎您参加Pepperstone线上直播六月首秀,一起探索澳元背后的秘密。
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