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Analysis

Gold
JPY

【今日速递】远水难救近火

Jerry Chen
Jerry Chen
Research Strategist
19 Nov 2020
Share
疫苗再传利好但难敌疫情扩散的现实,美股周三回落,美元延续弱势,英镑则实现四连阳。

今日关注

  • 澳大利亚10月失业率
  • 美国上周初请失业金人数
  • 美国10月NAR成屋销售

股市

美股周三继续回调,标普500下挫1.16%,全部行业板块均录得跌幅。纳斯达克指数下跌0.82%。

尽管辉瑞的新冠疫苗在最终的临床试验中取得了95%的有效率,并且定于本周向监管机构(FDA)申请紧急许可。但纽约关闭学校的新一轮限制措施提醒投资者距离疫苗真正大规模接种还很远,而眼前的疫情则在持续爆发,市场的风险偏好遭到打压。

欧洲股市周三普涨。A股三大指数涨跌不一,其中沪指上涨0.22%,收报3347.30点。澳洲ASX200上涨0.51%至6531.1点,创9个月来新高。

商品

黄金连续第三天下跌后收于1872.29。日线图上50天和100天的均线形成“死叉”,短线走势偏弱。不过金价再次在1860附近获得支撑。

辉瑞疫苗的进展显然打压了黄金的避险买盘。根据彭博报道,黄金ETF在过去七个交易日中有六个交易日出现资金外流。曾经在八月帮助金价攀升至历史高位的重要驱动力正在逐渐衰减。

WTI原油(XTIUSD)在疫苗的利好带动下最高触及42.42,但在纽约宣布关闭学校后回吐了部分涨幅,最终收于41.56。上周美国原油库存的增加幅度小于预期。油价目前接近交易区间的上限,想要突破前高需要获得更多的动力。

外汇

美元指数(USDX)周三收于92.31,基本与前日持平,但10年期美债收益率小幅升高至0.87%。

日元显现出其避险属性,美/日在跌破104之后,有望再次下探103.07/18区域。

欧元下跌至1.1854,结束了此前的四连阳。欧元区10月通胀-0.3%,率符合预期。

英镑周三升至一周高点1.3267,英国10月CPI好于预期。同时,可能即将达成协议的脱欧贸易谈判持续为汇价提供上涨动能。

澳元小幅上涨至0.7307,纽元升至0.6923,刷新2019年3月以来的收盘价新高。美/加继续围绕5天EMA线震荡运行,收于1.3086。


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