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Analysis

US
Gold

【今日速递】财政刺激谈判有望重启 美股收高黄金逼近关键支撑

Jerry Chen
Jerry Chen
Research Strategist
19 Nov 2020
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周四美股在科技股的带领下小幅升高,美元则继续回落,黄金逼近关键支撑位。

今日关注

  • 英国和加拿大10月零售销售

股市

美股周四小幅收涨。标普500上涨0.39%,其中能源和科技板块领涨。纳斯达克攀升0.87%。

投资者继续权衡短期的疫苗进展与长期的疫情影响这两方面的因素,居家概念的科技股昨天获得市场青睐。

疫情对经济尤其是劳动力市场的冲击是显而易见的。美国劳工部公布,11月14日当周有74.2万人申请失业金,超过了预估的71万。

不过对国会可能重启财政刺激谈判的预期提振了市场信心,抵消了初请人数五周来首次上升的利空影响。美国10月份成屋销售好于预期,并且连续五周攀升。

欧洲股市周四普涨。A股三大指数同样集体收高,其中沪指上涨0.47%,收报3363.09点。澳洲ASX200指数上涨至6547.2点,涨幅0.25%。

商品

黄金受到多款疫苗进展的消息影响,周四继续回落至1866.04,盘中再1848/60区域获得支撑,这里也是短线极为关键的水平。目前日线图上呈现死叉,若跌破1848或将开启一波更大程度的下挫。

ETF是此轮黄金下跌的推手。全球最大的黄金ETF(SPDR Gold)的仓位上周下跌了26吨,这是自2016年以来最大单周净流出。

WTI原油(XTIUSD)收盘报41.65,基本与前日持平。油价在疫情和疫苗的拉锯中维持震荡走势,目前接近近期交投区间上沿。临近年末节假日,欧美多地不断升级的限制措施短线内将影响原油需求,或对油价形成压力。

外汇

美元指数(USDX)跌至92.22,而10年期美债收益率则下跌至0.85%。有报道指出,共和党多数派领袖麦康奈尔已同意恢复对新冠救助计划的谈判。对于未来更多宽松政策的预期令美元持续承压。

欧元小幅上涨至1.1873。欧洲央行行长拉加德警告第二波疫情对经济造成的伤害,并敦促迅速就欧盟复苏基金达成协议,同时还重申了下个月将推出更多宽松措施。欧元近来的上涨势头面临11月高点1.1920的考验。

英镑结束四连阳,周四小幅下滑至1.3262。由于欧盟团队中有人确诊新冠,以此双方暂时停止了脱欧贸易谈判。此前有消息指出双方有望最早在下周达成协议。

澳元收盘跌破0.73关口。澳洲10月新增17.88万就业人口,大幅好于预期,但失业率上升至7%。

纽元从近两年高位回落至0.6918。美/加跌至1.3073。



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