Analysis

US500AUD

【市场速递】 特朗普再出招 股汇市遭双杀

Jerry Chen
Research Strategist
7 Oct 2020
特朗普再出招延续“十月惊奇”, 美元受避险盘支撑走强,股汇市和黄金下挫。

今日关注

  • 美国上周EIA原油库存变化

股市

美股周二全线下跌,标普500下跌1.4%,纳斯达克和道指分别下滑1.57%和1.34%。

特朗普的“十月惊奇”还在继续,他意外地宣布暂停与民主党关于刺激方案的谈判直到大选之后,瞬间浇灭了刚刚有所回暖的风险情绪。如果说这是选举策略的一部分的话,那这无疑是一个豪赌。

而就在他宣布之前,美联储主席鲍威尔再次呼吁政府投入更多的财政刺激,否则经济复苏将面临挑战。鲍威尔表示在当前环境下,过多的刺激所带来的风险将小于过少的刺激。

欧洲股市昨日普涨。ASX200上涨20.5点至5962.1点,涨幅0.35%。

商品

黄金下跌至一周低点1877.91。财政刺激方案落空使通胀的前景变得更为渺茫,避险资金流入美元,导致金价下挫。目前技术指标偏空,下一关键支撑看至100天均线1858附近。

WTI原油(XTIUSD)在特朗普叫停谈判之后回吐部分日内涨幅,最终仍收高于39.8,再次回到200天均线上方。尽管上周美国原油库存增加幅度高于预期,但侵袭墨西哥湾的风暴相应提振了油价。

外汇

美元指数(USDX)在避险盘支撑下调升至93.85,10年期美债收益率降至0.74%。日元是昨天唯一兑美元录得涨幅的货币,USDJPY在50天均线附近受阻,从三周高位下跌至105.63。

欧元在特朗普的消息之后由涨转跌,最终收盘报1.1733。欧洲央行官员的鸽派言论让市场预期会有更多的宽松政策出炉。英镑下跌至1.2873。

风险货币全线下跌。澳元受避险情绪影响下跌超1%至0.71。澳洲联储维持政策利率不变,但暗示会采取更多宽松的货币政策。澳洲政府2021财年的赤字预计飙升至创纪录的2100亿澳元或GDP的11%。

纽元下挫0.8%至0.6587。加元走弱至1.3314.


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