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Analysis
美股并没有能够延续周一的反弹，昨天三大股指全线下挫。纳指刷新年内低点并创下2008年以来最大的单日跌幅，标普和道琼斯分别下跌2.8%和2.3%。由于担心马斯克对于Twitter所投入的资源和精力可能影响到特斯拉的运营，后者单日超过12%的跌幅严重拖累整体市场走势。除能源板块外，几乎所有行业指数都全军覆没。
谷歌在盘后时间公布的财报不及预期，股价一度下跌超6%。微软的业绩符合预期，但股价仍受到避险情绪的波及。目前来看，财报对股价的提振并不明显或者说门槛非常高，接下去关注Facebook（周三）、苹果和亚马逊（周四）公布的业绩情况。
由于恐慌抛售的根源在于对过快收紧的货币政策和经济成长前景的担忧，因此市场情绪能否逆转的关键还在于美联储的态度和中国的防疫进展。如果美联储能将关注重点从“通胀”逐渐转向“抗通胀与经济增长的平衡”，或许能安抚投资者的情绪，不过这至少也要等到5月5日的美联储会议声明之后了。
俄罗斯的最新表态进一步增添了不确定性。对于一些不使用卢布结算的“不友好国家”，俄罗斯将对其中止天然气的供应。欧洲天然气期货价格应声上涨10%，并推升WTI原油重回100美元上方。
避险情绪烘托下，黄金持稳在1905美元附近。虽然债市、股市和外汇市场的隐含波动率均处于阶段性高位，但金价近来似乎不为所动，其波动率相对较低。
从上至下分别是黄金、美债、标普500和G7货币的隐含波动率
避险情绪升高同样打压了加密货币，下图显示出比特币（黄色）和纳斯达克指数（蓝色）之间近来相似的趋势。
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