- English
- 中文版
Analysis
目前技术指标已经产生分化。汇价连续两天站稳100天均线上方，5天均线（黑色）向上穿越100天均线（蓝色），并且自4月开始的上升趋势保持完好。但自4月底以来，汇价已经三次尝试突破图中箱体运行区间的上沿0.6569这一关键阻力位，但均以失败告终。目前RSI指标呈现顶背离，暗示上涨动能不足。
若上破关键阻力位，下一目标为前高0.6684。若汇价无法突破甚至收低100天均线下方，可能进一步引发获利抛盘至0.6443。
澳元兑美元（AUDUSD）日线图
尽管当前走势扑朔迷离，但作为全球风险衡量指标，澳元的未来走势很大程度将取决于标普500指数。目前两者的20天滚动相关系数到达77%。密切关注标普500（US500）的走势，从中我们将得到关于澳美的更多线索。
澳纽的日线图看上去非常具有吸引力。
新西兰央行再次表示在2021年3月之前将不会调低利率，这一表态提振了纽元。
汇价正测试上升通道的下沿1.0719，随机震荡指标在超买区域回落。若成功跌破该关键水平，可打开下行空间，看低至自5月初开始的水平支撑位1.0640一线。上行方向，前高1.0810可作为止损位。
澳元兑纽元（AUDNZD）日线图
澳元兑日元已经完成突破。
本周一公布的日本第一季度GDP初值同比下降3.4%，结合2019年第四季度的萎缩7.3%，标志着日本经济已经正式迈入了技术性衰退。另外，由于疫苗的进展所引发的风险情绪回升使得避险日元承压。过去两天，日元几乎兑所有主要货币都录得跌幅，成为了表现最差的G10货币。
日线图上，日元的弱势带动汇价突破了绿色水平阻力70.16一线，正在挑战100天均线（黄色）70.52。10天均线（黑色）看涨并且稳步上行，MACD处于正值区域且绿色动能柱放大。如果汇价能站稳70.16上方，后市有望继续上行，看高至200天均线（蓝色）71.86附近。
澳元兑日元（AUDJPY）日线图
Related articles
Ready to trade?
It's quick and easy to get started. Apply in minutes with our simple application process.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted..