Analysis
避险情绪卷土重来推高美元 OPEC+决定今晚出炉
当然，昨晚大家最为关注并不是市场价格，而是一位来自美国80高龄老奶奶的行踪。避险需求导致黄金一度冲高至一个月高点1787，但随着美元的反弹，金价收盘回落至1761附近。目前看起来，这一事件并没有给全球金融市场带来太明显的冲击，但后续效应有待观察。
真正影响隔夜市场走势的是美联储的态度。多位委员表示美国通胀还很顽固，加息还远没有结束，这给此前押注加息放缓的预期浇了一盆冷水。从下图可以看出，美元指数（USDX）在通道底部和50天均线位置出现反弹。若能突破近两周的整理区间，指数有望延续升势。
美元指数（USDX）
美元反弹、美债收益率走高，再加上财报表现欠佳，让美国三大股指周二承压。标普500指数在100天均线附近遭遇阻力。由于美联储的态度变得难以揣摩，多头自然缺乏进一步推高股指的信心。虽然过去两周股市从底部反弹，但经济正在步入衰退，熊市也不会瞬间结束，反弹之路不会一帆风顺。
标普500指数（US500）
今晚OPEC+会议将公布9月的产量决议。由于OPEC+在7和8月的会议上已经小幅增加了增产目标，并且实际产能一直远低于既定目标，另外需求端也受到衰退的困扰，因此今天预计将维持产量不变。
从价格来看，若产能维持不变，布伦特油价或将巩固当前的价格水平，若小幅增产则可能延续下行趋势。WTI原油也会有相同的走势，但同时还会受到美国原油库存数据的影响。
WTI
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