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Analysis

USD
EUR

耶伦呼吁“大动作” 美元回调黄金持稳观望

Jerry Chen
Jerry Chen
Research Strategist
20 Jan 2021
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耶伦在听证会上的言论刺激美股周二全线上扬,恒生指数飙升2.7%创2019年5月以来新高,黄金持平于1840。

今日关注

  • 英国和欧元区12月CPI
  • 加拿大央行利率决议
  • 拜登就职典礼

股市

美股周二全线上扬,纳斯达克上涨1.53%,标普500和道琼斯分别上涨0.81%和0.38%。

就在拜登即将宣誓就职之前,美国财政部长提名人耶伦在国会听证会中再次呼吁在财政政策上要有“大动作”以挽救遭遇重创的美国经济,以此对拜登1.9万亿的刺激方案表达了支持。作为前任美联储主席,耶伦上台后有望协调好美联储和财政部的关系,这对市场来说是一个积极因素。受刺激计划的预期影响,能源股领跑大盘。

欧洲和亚太股市涨跌不一。A股三大指数集体收跌,其中沪指下跌0.83%,收报3566.38点。澳洲ASX200上涨至6742.6点,涨幅1.19%。

香港恒生指数上涨2.7%,刷新2019年5月以来新高。

商品

黄金收盘小幅上涨至1840,但未能突破200天均线的阻碍。在刺激方案的预期以及收益率的走高的相互作用下,黄金延续近来的横盘整理格局。

WTI原油(XTIUSD)上涨1%至52.93。尽管IEA调降了对2021年原油需求的预期,但耶伦的言论支撑着市场中的乐观情绪。美元昨日的疲软也对油价形成利好。

外汇

美元指数(USDX)下跌至90.42,在10天EMA线附近获得支撑。耶伦对美元的评论(不寻求弱势美元)没能阻止指数的下跌。从技术图形上看,指数重回趋势线下方且走出了黄昏之星的K线形态后,短线偏空。

欧元上涨0.44%,收于1.21上方,德国1月ZEW经济景气指数好于预期,暂时淡化了投资者对于欧洲最大经济体可能延长封锁的担忧。

日线图上形成早晨之星的看涨形态。从4小时图来看,已经远离了1.2060的底部区域,目前交投在1.2130一线,若上破后关注前高1.2176,这里也是11月开始的升势的23.6%回档位。

英镑上扬0.37%来到1.3635。继续运行于上升通道的中线上方。多头的下一个目标是1月14日的高点1.3710。日内关注英国12月CPI和零售销售数据。

商品货币方面,澳元收高于0.7696,盘中最高触及0.7725。纽元上涨至0.7117。加元走强至1.2731。加拿大央行将于今天公布利率决议,料将维持利率和前瞻指引不变。若央行表达鸽派观点将使美/加承压。



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